DHL Expects Freight Rebound Following Muted First Half

DHL Expects Freight Rebound Following Muted First Half

Operating profit of DHL Group fell 20.5% in the second quarter, though it is still on track to meet full-year targets due to a slowdown in international trade and freight transportation.

DHL has seen its revenue climb by 2.7% to $22.3bn while earnings before interest and tax dropped to $1.5bn, in line with internal forecasts. However, operational profits were materially better than the $857M reported for the same pre-Covid period of 2019.

In recent quarters, decreasing global economic growth has made it difficult for Germany-based logistics provider DHL Express Parcels GmbH and Co KG KUTCHER GERD-KLEMENS to improve its results. However, management expects a recovery beginning in Q2 which would give momentum into the next year.

The economic upturn was not behind this as there was industry-wide air and sea freight demand and rates increased significantly during the first half of the year. These were mostly driven by businesses shipping orders earlier than normal as uncertainty related to Red Sea shipping delays, imminent dockworkers strike in the US, and low inventory levels persisted. It could be argued that some retailers moved international volumes forward so that they would arrive on time during this year’s busy holiday shopping periods making way for a less robust peak shipping season.

There was an improvement in the volumes of air and ocean freight in the second quarter of the year compared to their lowest levels observed before that period. Although there may be signs of progress or partial recovery, the overall situation for global trade remains fragile or incomplete. There has been a slight increase in business-to-business volumes at Express, but not a major boost. The Express network is still not fully optimized. Despite this, the company remains in a strong position due to careful management of costs and capacity. The company’s diverse logistics services also position it well for when global trade picks up again.

Also, both UPS and FedEx have had the problem of declining parcel volumes in the last couple of years. The United Parcel Service reported a 29 percent drop in operating profit for Q2 2020. FedEx endured revenue declines for six quarters before experiencing a small increase of 1% on the year ending May 31st.

In order to support earnings and an ongoing decrease in cash flows, as such DHL Group reduced its investment spending within the second quarter by $685 million roughly about 10.5% from the previous year’s figures.

DHL Express registered negative YoY shipment growths during Q2 but recorded a positive development of B2B parcels by 1%. Meanwhile, the segment effectively minimized a reduction in profit through efficiency gains and network capacity optimization techniques. In addition, DHL will construct another maintenance hangar for Europe in Spain, because it wants to have enough planes available as airfreight demand keeps rising. Furthermore, this carrier’s own airline has also extended the lease at Leipzig/Halle airport for fifteen years longer until 2053 which acts as its main global hub while it plans on undertaking further investments enabling larger freighter aircraft parking for the forthcoming few years.

Global Forwarding unit experienced a modest increase in its revenue. For two quarters in a row, the division saw mid-single-digit growth in air (+5%) and ocean (+6%) freight volumes compared to a low base in 2023. This happened as customer orders began to match real demand after a long time of reducing stock.

DHL stated that the Supply Chain division kept gaining from e-commerce growth and new sourcing patterns worldwide. New contracts and increased e-commerce activity contributed to higher revenue across nearly all regions and sectors of the business. It was the only division with a positive operating profit showing a 2.5% increase. The eCommerce division’s revenue growth of 10.5% was much higher than other units. DHL’s fulfillment arm gained from the ongoing growth in e-commerce, which made up for slow consumer spending overall.

DHL stuck to its full-year forecast for EBIT of $6.5 billion or higher. The company believes a strong holiday shipping season will boost its financial performance in the latter half of the year. DHL also predicted its operating profit would surpass $8.1 billion by 2026.

By leveraging their expertise and resources, Lading Logistics aims to provide efficient and reliable international shipping and logistics solutions for their clients.